skin is doing something weird and I can't tell if it's good or bad

So my skin has been confusing me lately. Like, the breakouts I've had for months have calmed down a bit — which should feel like a win — but now it's just dry in patches and a bit dull? Honestly I don't know what's worse. At least spots feel like something I know how to deal with. I think it's just the season shifting tbh. I've been using the same products since summer and I reckon my skin basically needs something different now but I have no idea what. Someone at work mentioned adding a heavier moisturiser at night and I've been doing that for about a week, too early to say anything I think. The collagen in my morning routine is the one thing I'm keeping steady — it's just become habit at this point, mixing it into my matcha before I even think about anything else. Everything else feels a bit trial and error right now.